This is a well written and comprehensive look at the main issues Donald Trump will use against Hillary Clinton in the fall election campaign:
It really is an effective list, made even more so because each of the items is already well known to the public so Trump won’t have to work hard to establish any of the narratives. The “Crooked Hillary” will work nicely to inspire the Republican base and to peel off those independents that are already not quite comfortable with her past.
The “woman card” angle must be played carefully so as not to get liberal women fired up or excited about her campaign to become the first woman president. So far that hasn’t really happened. Older women, with the memories of Bill Clinton’s many accusers of unwanted sexual advances and even rape, remember that Hillary was the lead attacker of every one of her husband’s alleged victims. Younger women have been raised to take it as a given that there will be a female president at some point and they don’t seem really inclined to get energized about Hillary Clinton as being that first female president.
I don’t think the Physical Health issue will get much ground unless she either has a public health issue revealed. She’d almost have to pass out on stage for any real traction to gain hold on this issue.
The Foreign Policy issue is very interesting because it’s one of the issues that could cause some switch over from voters that would otherwise automatically vote for her because she’s the liberal democrat in the race. Her vote for the Iraq War is extremely unpopular among the anti-war at any cost faction of the liberal base and Trump is positioning himself as the candidate less likely to engage America in the next war. Trump has a possibility here to bring some liberal voters over to his side and at the very least this issue will likely make some liberals stay home on voting day.
The Trade Issue is the other issue that Trump can potentially use to attract switch over voters. NAFTA and other trade pacts have cost America millions of jobs and Hillary is very vulnerable on this issue. Unions are particularly against these agreements and Hillary Clinton will lose a lot of the get out the vote effort that unions usually devote to the Democrat candidate. Look for trump to use the current TPP pact as a central issue for TV ads and watch him us the Kerry-like “She was for TPP before she was against TPP” line.
Bernie Sanders has helped Trump establish the last two issues in the minds of likely Democrat voters and this will give him a distinct advantage. It is often the candidate that can get through the primaries first to establish the general narrative of the campaign that ends up winning. The fact the Hillary has been in the spotlight for so many years with so many of the above issues already established and then reinforced during the Democrat primary with Bernie Sanders means Trump has the narrative established before he even became the presumptive GOP nominee.
With Ben Carson leading in most GOP presidential primary polls, it seems likely that he will be a contender for the length of the campaign season. Soon America will be distracted by the holiday seasons and the poll numbers will likely settle down without much change for a month or two. When the early primary elections occur in the early part of next year, we will start to get a much clearer picture about who is the more likely GOP nominee. If it is Ben Carson, then picking a running mate like Marco Rubio could make him a favorite to win the general election.
Ben Carson is an incredibly motivating speaker. His personal story and his professional accomplishments make him a very likeable candidate. And his calm and consistent manner project a presidential gravitas that Donald Trump is seriously lacking. An outsider not tied to the Washington establishment, he has all of Trump’s outsider benefits with none of his gaffes or un-presidential bluster. In addition to being energizing factor among the GOP base, Ben Carson could also offer the possibility of attracting a significant percentage of the black vote. Black voters who have voted Democrat in past elections have been economically hit very hard over the past several years of the Obama administration and might be more open than normal to looking at a Republican alternative. The brilliant retired brain surgeon is too successful and capable to ever bring up how his race might be a benefit in the general election but it would indeed be such a benefit.
Barring an unlikely indictment or a hereto for unknown health problem, Hillary Clinton will be the Democrat nominee. She hopes to maximize advantage among female voters looking to elect the first female President of the United States and to keep the advantage among black voters that President Obama enjoyed in both of his elections. But repeated polls over the past several months leave both of those in doubt. One of the worst kept secrets in Washington DC is that she plans on choosing HUD secretary Julian Castro as her running mate as a strategy to get more of the Hispanic vote. Ben Carson could easily eliminate any advantage she might get from this maneuver by selecting Marco Rubio as his own running mate.
Selecting Marco Rubio as his vice presidential running mate would offer several advantages. First of all he’s a much higher profile candidate then Julian Castro. Most people outside of Washington DC have never even heard of Julian Castro where is Marco Rubio will continue to be building his national profile throughout the candidate selection process. Also, as a Florida Senator, Marco Rubio would very likely guarantee a GOP win of Florida’s electoral votes. Julian Castro is a former three-term mayor of San Antonio, TX but it is highly unlikely that a very Red State like Texas would end up voting for Hillary Clinton regardless of who she picks as a running mate. And Marco Rubio could match Julian Castro word for word in the very likely large amounts of Spanish commercials and public events likely to happen during the election process.
Republicans are not as comfortable as Democrats in using identity politics as a tool in elections. And both Ben Carson and Marco Rubio are gifted and talented enough to never need to stoop to using race or ethnicity for political benefit. If they were to become the eventual nominees for the GOP, it would not be because of their race or backgrounds but rather because both have incredible abilities and offer a leadership vision that America badly needs.
Democrat Presidential Candidate Bernie Sanders recently said our nation, “in many ways was created, and I’m sorry to have to say this, from way back, on racist principles, that’s a fact.” The fact is, Sanders and many liberals that like to say this about America’s Founding Fathers are wrong.
This great New York Times article destroys the myth that the founding fathers were racists and that our country was founded on racist policies. Published by the very liberal New York Times, no liberal can claim political bias in this article. It is factual and detailed in covering the process in which the South tried to instill slavery into the Constitution but were blocked by the Founding Fathers of this country. I highly recommend this article:
We have every reason to be proud of our country which was intent on ending slavery from it’s very beginnings
My local US Representative (shudder!) and DNC Chairperson (as in, she’s in charge of the Democratic Party across the entire nation) once again entertained us with her mental ability as she was flummoxed by MSNBC host Chris Matthews on Thursday evening. Chris Matthews is an unapologetic Liberal to the extreme and this should have been an easy interview for her. But when the subject of Bernie Sanders, a self-described Socialist, came up and Matthews asked her what the difference was between a Democrat and a Socialist, she didn’t have a clue.
I really can’t blame her too much…there hasn’t been a true difference between a Democrat and a Socialist in many years.
Non-partisan news site Politico.com delivered a scathing article yesterday about local embarrassment Debbie Wasserman Schultz. She is, I’m sad to say, my local Representative. Republicans in the district have long found her to be extremely left-wing, shrill and self-serving. Democrats are now also starting to see her for what she is. The article mentions that even President Obama and Valerie Jarret are through with her. I wish our district would send her packing in November.