Tag Archives: 2016 Presidential Election

Carson and Rubio would be Unbeatable

With Ben Carson leading in most GOP presidential primary polls, it seems likely that he will be a contender for the length of the campaign season.  Soon America will be distracted by the holiday seasons and the poll numbers will likely settle down without much change for a month or two.  When the early primary elections occur in the early part of next year, we will start to get a much clearer picture about who is the more likely GOP nominee.  If it is Ben Carson, then picking a running mate like Marco Rubio could make him a favorite to win the general election.

Ben Carson is an incredibly motivating speaker.  His personal story and his professional accomplishments make him a very likeable candidate.  And his calm and consistent manner project a presidential gravitas that Donald Trump is seriously lacking.  An outsider not tied to the Washington establishment, he has all of Trump’s outsider benefits with none of his gaffes or un-presidential bluster.  In addition to being energizing factor among the GOP base, Ben Carson could also offer the possibility of attracting a significant percentage of the black vote.   Black voters who have voted Democrat in past elections have been economically hit very hard over the past several years of the Obama administration and might be more open than normal to looking at a Republican alternative.  The brilliant retired brain surgeon is too successful and capable to ever bring up how his race might be a benefit in the general election but it would indeed be such a benefit.

Barring an unlikely indictment or a hereto for unknown health problem, Hillary Clinton will be the Democrat nominee.  She hopes to maximize advantage among female voters looking to elect the first female President of the United States and to keep the advantage among black voters that President Obama enjoyed in both of his elections.  But repeated polls over the past several months leave both of those in doubt.  One of the worst kept secrets in Washington DC is that she plans on choosing HUD secretary Julian Castro as her running mate as a strategy to get more of the Hispanic vote.  Ben Carson could easily eliminate any advantage she might get from this maneuver by selecting Marco Rubio as his own running mate.

Selecting Marco Rubio as his vice presidential running mate would offer several advantages. First of all he’s a much higher profile candidate then Julian Castro. Most people outside of Washington DC have never even heard of Julian Castro where is Marco Rubio will continue to be building his national profile throughout the candidate selection process.  Also, as a Florida Senator, Marco Rubio would very likely guarantee a GOP win of Florida’s electoral votes.  Julian Castro is a former three-term mayor of San Antonio, TX but it is highly unlikely that a very Red State like Texas would end up voting for Hillary Clinton regardless of who she picks as a running mate.  And Marco Rubio could match Julian Castro word for word in the very likely large amounts of Spanish commercials and public events likely to happen during the election process.

Republicans are not as comfortable as Democrats in using identity politics as a tool in elections.   And both Ben Carson and Marco Rubio are gifted and talented enough to never need to stoop to using race or ethnicity for political benefit.   If they were to become the eventual nominees for the GOP, it would not be because of their race or backgrounds but rather because both have incredible abilities and offer a leadership vision that America badly needs.

Ed Ruth

Third GOP Had a Few Winners; Liberal Media Big Loser

The third GOP Presidential Debate, held last night on CNBC, had few big moments for the candidates but several long minutes of public defeat for liberal media.  The candidates were repeatedly asked questions that could be described as “unskillful” if one were trying to be overly polite to the moderators.  But several of the candidates stepped up to the challenge, calling out the moderators and delivering lines that should help them in the polls.

Donald Trump showed that he has evolved as a candidate.  He was much more disciplined than in the past but was still able to give better than he got from both his fellow debaters and from the moderators.  He won because he did no damage and may have helped his campaign by showing he’s got more substance than many have accused him of having.  No damage and some benefits makes him the debate winner because he’s already leading or basically tied with Ben Carson in most polls.

Ben Carson did well but didn’t seem to have much fire.  His answers were careful and humble on a night when many others were making risky comments and even some attacks to increase their profiles.  I don’t know that he hurt his campaign but I can’t really see where he helped it either.

Marco Rubio had a great night and may have positioned himself as leader of the mainstream candidates.  He was attacked by Jeb Bush and beat back the attack handily.  He was attacked on his finances by the moderators and slapped them hard while turning it to his advantage by speaking to the voters about how he was not born rich and how he feels voters financial struggles because he shares them.  A solid performance with several great moments that will undoubtedly be rebroadcast in the coming days.  This should help him with donors and make it so his campaign has no problem financing for the long haul.

Ted Cruz also had several great moments during the debate.  Some were substantive but his best lines were his attacks on the liberal media, including the debate moderators.  This debate will keep Cruz in the campaign for the long haul as well.

Carly Fiorina had a few good moments but was unfortunately not given enough time to really shine.  The moderators seemed to have made a point of not asking her or Donald Trump many questions so as to give the other candidates more time.  That is unfortunate as she is one of the best candidates on the stage.  Low contributions may make her leave the campaign at some point but she’s a solid candidate for the VP slot if she does end up dropping out of running for the top ticket.  If she does get some bump in the polls from this debate and can increase her campaign coffers, then she too will be in for the long haul.  But I don’t think she had enough time in the spotlight last night to do either.

The remaining candidates, Kasich, Huckabee and the lower tier candidates (Graham, Jindhal, etc) are on borrowed time.  They don’t have the money they need to last more than a few more months.

The big story for the night other than the candidates performance was the embarrassing performance of the moderators.  Their bias was clear from the get go and they didn’t even make an attempt to hid it.  Their questions were unworthy of the event for the most part, shallow attempts at either demeaning a candidate or pitting one against another.  In the end, they only made themselves look bad and further diminished whatever remaining credibility they may have had among conservative viewers.

Ed Ruth